The EBA assessment paper presumes that the volume of write-offs and bad assets sold are lower in the SME segment as in large corporates. The question is not so much to demonstrate that SME lending has increased thanks to the SF, but to figure out how much SME lending would have shrunk without it.
It is also important to note that the overall impact of the regulatory reform may affect asset classes differently. The use of capital has become a critical variable in banks management and the regulation imposes new constraints to the decisions on asset allocation. The combined effect of increased capital requirements and the liquidity ratios put certain asset classes, like SME lending, at a disadvantage. Notwithstanding, SME lending was not at the core of the financial crisis that gave rise to the regulatory reform. The SME Supporting Factor (SF) came to alleviate the unwarranted overall pressure on SME lending.
Against this background, the CRR included a mandate to the EBA for an analysis of the lending trends and conditions for SMEs, their riskiness during an economic cycle and the consistency of own funds requirements with the outcome of that analysis. European Banking Federation (EBF) notes that the EBA has already done research and collected valuable information on overall SME performance and lending trends. Many of the questions raised in the discussion paper refer to the experience of individual banks. The EBF consolidated response gives indications received from member banks but needs to be complemented with the specific feedback from individual banks. An annex with research by the Italian Banking Association is included in this response. It sheds light on the trends of SME lending after the implementation of the SME SF using available data from various sources including the ECB and the Bank of Italy.
The ultimate question of the discussion paper is to ascertain if the SME SF has supported SME lending. Given the variety of economic factors involved it is, in EBF’s view, virtually impossible to isolate the effect of a single factor like the SME SF. In this regard, there are a number of factors influencing the SME lending that should be taken into account such as: a reduced demand for credit for investment purposes during economic downturn; the increased banks’ financing costs, reflected in credit spreads negatively affected the demand for loans; the increasingly enhanced credit guarantee schemes used by Governments as policy tool to improve the access to finance by SMEs; the EIB support provided to SMEs reduced the financing constraints. Hence drawing outright conclusions would not be plausible. The EBA rightly acknowledges this feature in the discussion paper. However some hints can be stated from the observations available. In the opinion of the EBF these observed facts should be highlighted in the EBA assessment:
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In the absence of conclusive empirical evidence estimates take on special significance. A strong point of reference is the estimated impact of capital requirements on the volume of lending. The EBA paper cites some relevant studies including the global one coordinated by the BCBS in 2010 and a more recent one by Méssonier and Monks using EU data from the EBA. Both studies point towards a decline of more than 1% in lending volumes when the capital requirement is lifted by 100 basis points.
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A simple and straight comparison of data collected in the EBA paper indicates that banks have roughly maintained the level of non-defaulted SME lending in the years after the crisis. Indeed, the decline in lending volumes is equivalent to the increase in defaulted assets. Presumably, risk managers cut credit lines to defaulted borrowers and this roughly explains the gap in a situation of limited new credit demand.
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The fact that there is not a liquid market of SME distressed loans explains the seemingly high non-performing rates compared to those of large corporates where the availability of capital has been simultaneously better. In a protracted economic crisis, it is no wonder that the stock of SME defaulted assets piles up on the balance sheet of banks giving the impression of higher riskiness in the SME segment. For a consistent comparison, it would be necessary to account for the volume of write-offs and bad assets sold which are presumably lower in the SME segment.
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