The ECB is closely monitoring the impacts of current developments on the banking sector.
The war in Ukraine dominates our thoughts these days. The awful
images of death and destruction close to our borders, in a country that
had expressed its democratic wish to join the European Union, remind us
of the core values driving European integration. The war triggered a
second exogenous shock to our economy, and as a consequence to our
banking sector, in less than two years. The international financial
sanctions in response to the Russian aggression against Ukraine call for
rigorous compliance by banks and other players, while generating
challenges for multinational firms. The ECB is closely monitoring the
impacts of current developments on the banking sector. We of course also
remain committed to pursuing our supervisory priorities and to meeting
our accountability obligations, and today we present you with our 2021
annual report on supervisory activities.
Banking sector preparedness for the impact of the Russia-Ukraine war
I
would like to underline that the banking sector is well prepared for
the impact of the Russia-Ukraine war, thanks to its strong capital and
liquidity position.
Direct exposures of European banks to Russian
counterparties appear manageable, which means the first-order impact on
the euro area’s financial stability is contained. These exposures
amount to approximately €100 billion, with sanctioned entities making up
only a minor part of this total. Direct exposures are concentrated in a
few banks operating in Russia, Ukraine or Belarus via subsidiaries that
are predominantly locally funded. Even in the extreme scenario in which
European banks were to write down cross-border exposures and decide or
be forced to walk away from their establishments in the region, the
overall capital impact would not jeopardise their continued compliance
with supervisory requirements and buffers. The immediate consequence of
the sanctions placed on Russia was a liquidity crisis at Sberbank Europe
AG, whose ultimate majority shareholder is the Russian Federation. This
led to our assessment of the bank and its subsidiaries in Croatia and
Slovenia as failing or likely to fail. More recently, RCB Bank, which
has Russian customers and is a former subsidiary of the Russian VTB
Bank, decided to voluntarily phase out its banking operations and
transform itself into a non-bank financial institution. A temporary
administrator appointed by the ECB is working with management to oversee
the orderly repayment of depositors, fully covered by the liquid assets
available at the bank.
Regarding the implementation of the
sanctions, ECB Banking Supervision does not have a mandate to assess and
enforce banks’ adherence to the different regimes. Nevertheless, we are
monitoring and evaluating the prudential implications of the sanctions
very seriously. Effectively implementing the sanctions is a challenging
task for banks, as they constantly need to adjust their operations to
adapt to the multifaceted and evolving nature of the sanction framework.
Our supervisory teams have daily exchanges with the banks to discuss
the prudential implications of sanction regimes and to assess the
measures taken. In particular, we are assessing whether banks have
implemented adequate internal governance arrangements and controls to
adhere to the sanctions. We are committed to a smooth cooperation with
the industry and other European bodies to ensure clarity around the
sanction framework.
Beyond the direct impact of the war, the ECB
is also monitoring possible second-round effects on banks. At this
stage, these indirect effects are more difficult to estimate. They could
run through concentrated exposures towards sectors or individual
customers indirectly hit by the sanctions, through the spike and
volatility in energy and commodity markets, through heightened
volatility in financial markets, and through the general deterioration
of the macroeconomic outlook in the European Union. We are closely
monitoring European banks’ risk profiles and are asking the banks to
enhance their internal defences against cyberattacks and improve their
operational resilience. We stand ready to implement swift supervisory
actions should the risk situation of individual banks deteriorate....
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