As supervisors, our role is to ensure that banks remain prudentially sound, now and long into the future. For this to happen, banks must be able to identify, assess, control and mitigate the inevitable risks materialising from the climate and environmental crises.
The economy needs stable banks, especially as it goes through the
green transition Although banks have started to do this, there is a long way to
go before they are climate change proof. We will therefore continue to
scale up our supervisory activities. We expect banks to be able to fully
manage their climate-related and environmental risks by the end of
2024.
Today we have published the results of our thematic review
on these risks. We have closely examined banks’ strategies, governance
and risk management practices. Together with 21 national competent
authorities, we assessed 186 banks holding total assets of €25 trillion
and took further actions to create the most comprehensive picture of how
banks have been dealing with these risks.
The glass is not even half full
Simply
put, the glass is filling up slowly but it is not yet even half full.
Yes, climate change has made it to the top levels within banks and some
first steps have been taken. But there is a difference between talking
about steps and beginning to act; and there is an even bigger difference
in doing what is needed. Here are three examples of shortcomings in
risk identification, strategy and living up to commitments.
First,
we detected blind spots at 96% of banks in their identification of
climate-related and environmental risks in terms of key sectors, regions
and risk drivers. Where banks do assess the risks, they are not yet
able to grasp the full magnitude as most do not actively collect
granular counterparty and asset-level data. And almost all boards are
still unaware of how these risks will develop over time, what precise
risk level the bank can accept and what action it will take to rein in
excessive risk.
Second,
most banks’ strategy documents are full of references to climate
change, but actual shifts in revenue sources remain rare. Banks are
certainly keen on new forms of sustainable business, and have plans to
allocate more funds to them soon. Many are also phasing out specific
activities, such as thermal coal power generation, and have started
discussing the transition with their most carbon-intensive clients.
However, it is too often still unclear how these initial steps shelter
banks’ business models from the consequences of climate change and
environmental degradation in the years to come. For instance, some banks
have committed to reaching net-zero emissions by 2050 but fail to
define “net zero” and fail to set interim targets. Such targets would
allow banks to actively steer towards their commitments. That would
bring them closer to reaching their goals on time.
Most banks
have thus not yet answered the question of what they will do with
clients who may no longer have sustainable revenue sources because of
the green transition. In other words, too many banks are still hoping
for the best while not preparing for the worst.
Third, more than
half of banks have put policy frameworks in place or have made green
commitments but have not put them into action. For instance, some banks
have policies explaining how to deal with clients engaged in risky
activities. However, when assessing real cases, we see that clients –
even notorious polluters – have sometimes been exempted from these
policies. We also find that certain banks have ignored clear warnings
from their own specialists. These banks risk serious repercussions on
their balance sheets, particularly where they publicly make “green”
claims....
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