Since the late 1990s, monetary theorists have regarded money in general and cash in particular as a substitute for a publicly available and freely accessible record-keeping device. Theoretically, cash could be replaced by a public ledger recording all past and present transactions. Distributed ledger technology (DLT) is such a record-keeping device that can ensure trade without a central authority – but can it do so efficiently and more robustly than traditional, centralised exchange?
Contribution
This paper examines the economic opportunities and challenges of DLT,
focusing on the strategic elements underlying its optimal design and
its efficiency compared with a centrally managed payment system.
In permissioned DLT, a known network of designated validators can
append the distributed ledger via a majority or supermajority rule. This
paper addresses the incentives validators need to sustain honest
exchange. Two economic forces that differentiate permissioned DLT from
conventional centralised marketplaces in terms of efficiency include (i)
that it is easier to achieve good governance in decentralised settings
and (ii) that the actions of multiple validators need to be coordinated
via economic incentives. The latter in particular requires rents for the
validators to overcome free-riding. The optimal design hence balances
the greater robustness derived from a more decentralised governance
structure with the increasing difficulty of coordinating a larger
network of validators.
Findings
We find that under specific circumstances, DLT may have economic
potential in financial markets and payments due to enhanced robustness
and the potentially lower cost of achieving good governance in a
decentralised network of validators compared with a central
intermediary. However, such improvements do not come for free; ie market
design and ensuring incentives of the validators matter. In particular,
maintaining a robust monetary equilibrium requires overcoming the
possibility that validators exploit their powerful positions, which
requires high rents and the absence of unanimity. We theoretically
examine these forces and derive the optimal number of validators, their
compensation and the optimal voting rule. Our results suggest that a
centralised ledger is likely to be superior, unless weaknesses in the
rule of law and contract enforcement necessitate a decentralised ledger.
Abstract
We explore the economics and optimal design of "permissioned"
distributed ledger technology (DLT) in a credit economy. Designated
validators verify transactions and update the ledger at a cost that is
derived from a supermajority voting rule, thus giving rise to a public
good provision game. Without giving proper incentives to validators,
however, their records cannot be trusted because they cannot commit to
verifying trades and they can accept bribes to incorrectly validate
histories. Both frictions challenge the integrity of the ledger on which
credit transactions rely. In this context, we examine the conditions
under which the process of permissioned validation supports
decentralized exchange as an equilibrium, and analyze the optimal design
of the trade and validation mechanisms. We solve for the optimal fees,
number of validators, supermajority threshold and transaction size. A
stronger consensus mechanism requires higher rents be paid to
validators. Our results suggest that a centralized ledger is likely to
be superior, unless weaknesses in the rule of law and contract
enforcement necessitate a decentralized ledger.
Full paper
BIS
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