The world is not returning to the old normal. Payments are a case in point. The pandemic has accelerated a longer-running move to digital.
Mobile and contactless payments are already part of our daily
lives; QR codes and "buy now, pay later" options are gaining popularity;
gloves, badges and Olympic uniforms with payment functions are being
prepared for the Beijing Winter Olympics; and the tech-savvy generation
will soon dream about money and payments for the metaverse.
Alongside these developments, the world's central banks are stepping
up efforts to prepare the ground for digital cash – central bank digital
currency (CBDC).1 They have a job to do – delivering price stability and financial stability – and they must retain their ability to do it.
Let me explain.
Central bank money has unique advantages – safety, finality,
liquidity and integrity. As our economies go digital, they must continue
to benefit from these advantages. Money is at the heart of the system
and it has to continue to be issued and controlled by trusted and
accountable institutions which have public policy – not profit –
objectives. Central bank money will have to evolve to be fit for the
digital future.
So what are the priorities now? Know where you are going – as Dag Hammarskjöld once said2, "only he who keeps his eye fixed on the far horizon will find the right road". And get going.
Let me elaborate.
Why do we need to know where are we going? Because today, the financial system is shifting under our feet.
Big techs are expanding their footprint in retail payments.
Stablecoins are knocking on the door, seeking regulatory approval.
Decentralised finance (DeFi) platforms are challenging traditional
financial intermediation. They all come with different regulatory
questions, which need fast and consistent answers.
Banks are worried about the implications of CBDCs for customer
deposits. Central banks are mindful of these concerns and are working on
answers. They see banks as part of future CBDC systems. But make no
mistake: global stablecoins, DeFi platforms and big tech firms will
challenge banks' models regardless.
Stablecoins may develop as closed ecosystems or "walled gardens", creating fragmentation. With DeFi protocols,3
any concerns about the assets underlying stablecoins could see
contagion spread through a system. And the growing footprint of big
techs in finance raises market power and privacy issues, and challenges
current regulatory approaches.4
Will the new players complement or crowd out commercial banks? Should
central banks open accounts to these new players, and under which
regulatory conditions? Which kind of financial intermediation do we need
to fund investment and the green transformation? How should public and
private money coexist in new ecosystems – for example, should central
bank money be used in DeFi rather than private stablecoins?
We urgently need to ask ourselves these kinds of questions about the
future. This is the far horizon for the financial system but we are
approaching it ever faster. Central banks need to know where they want
to go as they embark on their CBDC journey.
CBDC will be part of the answer. A well-designed CBDC will be a safe
and neutral means of payment and settlement asset, serving as a common
interoperable platform around which the new payment ecosystem can
organise. It will enable an open finance architecture that is integrated
while welcoming competition and innovation.5 And it will preserve democratic control of the currency.
This brings me to my second message: the time has passed for central
banks to get going. We should roll up our sleeves and accelerate our
work on the nitty-gritty of CBDC design. CBDCs will take years to be
rolled out, while stablecoins and cryptoassets are already here. This
makes it even more urgent to start.
In the design thinking methodologies we use in the BIS Innovation
Hub, the ideal product stands in a sweet spot at the intersection of
desirability, viability and feasibility. When applied to CBDCs, these
translate into three dimensions: consumer use cases, public policy
objectives and technology.
We have to ask ourselves why consumers would want a CBDC and
what would they want it to do? The recent European Central Bank (ECB)
public consultation showed that they value privacy, security and broad
usability.6
In order to meet consumers' expectations, CBDCs need to be made to work
most conveniently. Payment data must be protected. Digital functions
that are not available with cash can be developed, such as
programmability or viable micro-payments.
Then CBDCs should meet public policy objectives.7
Central banks exist to safeguard monetary and financial stability for
the public good. CBDCs are a tool to pursue this through enhancing
safety and neutrality in digital payments, financial inclusion and
access, innovation and openness. Important questions remain. How can
CBDC systems interoperate, and should offshore use be discouraged?
Technology opens up design choices. System design will be
complex. It involves a hands-on operational and oversight role for
central banks and public-private partnerships to develop the core
features of the CBDC instrument and its underlying system. These
features are: ease of use, low cost, convertibility, instant settlement,
continuous availability and a high degree of security, resilience,
flexibility and safety.8
Complex trade-offs will be addressed by central banks including how to
balance scale, speed and open access with security; and how to balance
offline functionality with complexity and security.
Across the world, central banks are coming together to focus on their
common mission. Charged with stability, they will not rush. They want
to move fast, but not to break things. Consultations with payment
systems and providers, banks, the public and a broad range of
stakeholders have begun in some countries. To build a CBDC for the
public, a central bank needs to understand what they need, and work
closely with other authorities. The BIS Innovation Hub is helping
central banks. We already have six CBDC-related proofs of concept and
prototypes being developed in our centres, and more to come.9
The European Union is uniquely placed to face the future. You can
build on a state-of-the-art fast payment system, on the strong
protections provided by the General Data Protection Regulation and on
the open philosophy of the Second Payment Services Directive. The ECB's
report on a digital euro sets the stage.
A CBDC's goal is ultimately to preserve the best elements of our
current systems while still allowing a safe space for tomorrow's
innovation. To do so, central banks have to act while the current system
is still in place – and to act now.
BIS
© BIS - Bank for International Settlements
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