Corporate bankruptcies are set to rise in the context of COVID-19. EU countries should speed up adoption of recent insolvency reforms and, in addition, offer consistent treatment to restructuring finance.
One of the less-remarked consequences of
the COVID-19 crisis, the associated lockdowns and the unprecedented
collapse in demand experienced by some companies, has been a dramatic
fall in business defaults and insolvencies. In a normal year, just under
200,000 insolvency proceedings are initiated in Europe, based on
private sector figures (there are inherent problems
in comparing national notifications). But with the onset of the
COVID-19 recession, EU countries suspended regular insolvency law
enforcement (an end-2020 European Commission survey
showed the extent of this). Meanwhile, fiscal measures, including
furlough schemes and tax deferrals, and credit support schemes,
including loan moratoria and publicly-guaranteed credit, seem to have
been effective in buffering the shock to corporate liquidity.
Suspensions of insolvency enforcement were initially justified.
Widespread insolvencies would have resulted in labour market chaos,
while loan defaults would have brought collateral to markets at
fire-sale prices. But ultimately insolvency rules will again apply with
full force in all EU countries. A pickup in insolvency filings by
companies that are either illiquid or insolvent based on existing legal
definitions seems inevitable, meaning courts will be faced with a
backlog of cases. But if EU countries can move more quickly to implement
a 2019 EU directive that introduced some insolvency reforms, the
outcomes might be more efficient than would have been the case only a
few years ago.
Priorities in corporate restructuring
The purpose of insolvency proceedings is
to coordinate between competing creditor interests and either impose a
reorganisation, in which creditors loose part of their claims and the
company emerges largely intact, or a liquidation of the company. On the
whole, European insolvency regimes have been biased towards liquidation,
rather than restructuring of still-viable enterprises. Proceedings have
tended to be lengthy and costly, yielding hard-to-predict outcomes. A
November 2020 European Banking Authority (EBA) survey underlined the costs and time required, and the limited recovery values in liquidation.
The EBA estimates are based on data up to
the end of 2018 – a time of relatively strong growth. This means the
estimates are unlikely to be a good guide to the coming years, when
insolvencies will spike. Experience from Chapter 11 proceedings in the
US suggests
that bankruptcy proceedings are more costly if the ability of courts to
restructure firms is constrained. Moreover, such cases are more likely
to end in the liquidation, rather than reorganisation, even if the
enterprise is in principle viable on the basis of a financial
restructuring.
‘Forum shopping’ after Brexit
In the recovery from the COVID-19 crisis,
solutions to insolvency negotiated by lenders and enterprises
out-of-court, or with limited involvement of the courts, will become
particularly important. In 2019, the EU adopted a directive on
preventive restructuring (EU 2019/1023)
– which now looks like particularly fortuitous timing. The deadline for
the directive’s transposition is July 2021, though all but three member
states have requested an extension of this deadline. As implementation
would open up restructuring options which will be sorely needed in the
recovery, national administrations should not lose more time.
One innovation in the directive is the
concept of ‘debtor in possession’: business owners and their managers
who have accessed preventive restructuring procedures may remain in
control while the restructuring solution is worked out, given some
safeguards for creditors. Stays on enforcement should allow negotiations
to take place as creditors and suppliers are obliged to allow normal
business to continue. Also, classes of creditors must be defined with
separate voting rights, and restructuring plans can in principle be
approved by a majority of classes of creditors or even by a single
class. This so-called ‘cram down’ represents a major innovation in many
EU countries. With some exceptions, the ‘absolute priority rule’ will
apply, offering senior creditor classes settlement ahead of all more
junior classes.
The directive has already led to notable
reforms in some countries. In both Germany and the Netherlands, new
insolvency laws became effective in January 2021. The Dutch law copied
significant elements from both the United Kingdom, and the US Chapter 11
proceedings.
However, these transpositions of the
directive also show that it will not iron out all of the long-standing
differences between national insolvency regimes. Local preferences in
dealing with insolvency can still be reflected under the directive. For
instance, under the Dutch law, shareholders, trade unions and works
councils can also initiate restructurings, which would then be
supervised by a restructuring professional. Also, states can deviate
from the absolute priority rule, and give additional rights to
shareholders and workforce representatives in a cram down.
Within the EU, a restructuring ruling by a
court in one jurisdiction must be recognised by all other member
states. Thus larger companies could use the restructuring law in
whatever member state is most suitable to their situation and where
courts accept the case. Up to 2020, UK courts regularly offered larger
companies convenient, if costly, pre-insolvency procedures, which were
open to any borrower who could demonstrate some connection to English
law.
Such legal services will likely be another
casualty of Brexit, as the UK-EU Trade and Cooperation Agreement does
not cover cross-border recognition. The UK has requested to accede to
the Lugano Convention, under which its civil law rulings would be
recognised, though time is quickly running out for the EU to accept this
request ahead of a deadline in early April. It is likely other EU
jurisdictions can play a similar role, and several EU capitals, such as
Paris, are already styling themselves as new European centres for
resolving insolvency cases. Rulings will need to be flexible and
predictable and there will also need to be sufficient capacity in local
legal services....
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