For the first time, a European stress test includes an assessment of Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) exposures. The core assessment refers to the direct impact of a stressed market scenario on the sustainability and funding of Defined Benefit (DB) pension funds and on the projected future retirement income of members of Defined Contribution (DC) pension funds.
Developing further the methodologies and approaches used for previous exercises, the 2019 stress test has been complemented to assess pension funds' potential reaction to the adverse market scenario on their investment allocation to understand better possible conjoint investment behaviours that may be relevant for the stability of the financial markets. Also, the effects of conditional cash in- and out-flows, which may mitigate or amplify the effects of the adverse market scenario on DB pension funds, can be assessed following an enriched cash flow analysis.
For the 2019 exercise, EIOPA decided to add an analytical component to focus on pension funds' current exposures and risk management practices regarding ESG factors, which will provide a relevant starting point for ESG-related financial stability assessments of the European financial sector.
Addressing stakeholders' feedback, the 2019 Occupational Pensions Stress Test has been initiated on an expeditious timeline to allow pension funds significantly more time to carry out the exercise and for National Competent Authorities to evaluate the results. A dedicated Q&A process with timely publications and a centralised validation procedure will further enhance the practicability and quality of the exercise. The results and conclusions of the stress test are expected to be published by the end of 2019.
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