Results
Overall 56% of articles in European and US newspapers were judged anti-Brexit. Only 8% of articles were pro-Brexit and 36% were neutral.
In the UK analysis, of the three newspapers studied (The Telegraph, Guardian and Daily Mail) two had backed the leave campaign, yet coverage after the vote was mostly anti-Brexit (39%), 27% pro-Brexit and 34% neutral.
European and US newspapers, whatever their political leaning, reported “stunned surprise” and “dismay” after the referendum. While left-wing newspapers were more strongly in favour of the EU and more critical of the outcome of Britain’s referendum arguing it could damage the EU; right-wing newspapers were also generally negative towards Brexit, although their analysis tended to be more understanding towards the reasons behind Britain’s vote to leave.
Germany and Italy: EU must reform
EU founding members, Germany and Italy, published the most articles about the referendum result. In Germany 252 articles were published in the six days between June 25th and July 1 (no editions were published on Sunday), in Süddeutsche Zeitung, Bild and Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung (FAZ). Most (62) articles across these three papers argued that Brexit would have a negative impact upon Britain, only one said it would have a positive impact. 40 articles suggested that Brexit would be bad for the EU, only four said it would be good for the EU.
In FAZ, a leading conservative daily, Brexit was depicted as major crisis for the EU. “Every commentary – without exception – was very critical of the EU politics and the decisions made by the EU in the past. The need for EU reform was a golden thread,” said Gordon Wüllner, a researcher from the Erich Brost Institute, the EJO’s German partner.
In Italy 249 articles were published between Corriere della Sera, La Repubblica and Il Giornale of which most (132) were negative, 29 positive and 88 neutral.
Despite the anti-Brexit views in western Europe’s quality newspapers some of the most enthusiastic pro-brexit coverage appeared in a popular western European right-wing daily, Italy’sil Giornale (owned by Silvio Berlusconi’s family).
Il Giornale depicted Brexit as a victory for the people over EU-hierarchies. It published 20 articles defining Brexit as positive, eight defining Brexit as negative (because of its potential economic impact on Italy) and 17 neutral articles. This newspaper also published two of the four articles published across all newspapers that discussed following the UK out of the EU as an option. Others were in FAZ and in Portugal’s Público, (34 articles argued against leaving).
In general coverage in tabloid and popular newspapers was more superficial and often focussed on issues such as immigration, racism and migrant workers in the UK. [...]
Russia: its role, and optimism
Of all 13 countries studied, only Russia, a non-member, had no articles stating Brexit would damage its national interest. Instead, of 52 articles, 13 outlined why Brexit would be good for Russia, 12 of these appeared on Regnum, a conservative pro-Putin outlet.
Articles about Russia’s role in Brexit featured prominently in central and eastern European coverage, but also in US newspapers (21 of 186 US articles mentioned Russia). The common view was that Russia would benefit from Brexit because EU sanctions on Russia would be harder to impose without British support. ‘Divided EU good for Russia’ was one of many similar comments in Gazeta Wyborcza, a Polish newspaper.
Most of Russia’s domestic coverage consisted of “short news about Brexit-related events without providing interpretation or authorial comments,” said Andrejs Berdnikovs, editor of EJO Russia. Berdnikovs said that while overt political statements were avoided, the media coverage was selective. “The decision of which quotes to use was dependent on portals’ ideological stance. Thus, conservative REGNUM tended to present an atmosphere of confusion among ruling European politicians, normally trying to make Pro-Europeanists sound naïve and trivial (“Moldova should strengthen efforts towards European integration, because it can bring Moldovan citizens welfare, social solidarity, good laws and respect”), but eurosceptics – witty and wise (“The EU is a project with a past but without a future”),” Berdnikovs said.
Oppositional portal Новая газета (Novaya Gazeta) was almost completely neutral towards Brexit, only slightly expressing concerns about the dangers of right-wing populism in Europe. Likewise, tabloid Московский Комсомолец (Moskovskiy Komsomolets, ) lacked an evaluative outlook,” Berdnikovs added. [...]
US: negative but nuanced
One of the most noteworthy aspects of Brexit coverage in the US media was the volume of mainstream news coverage devoted to the subject by the two leading national newspapers. “Brexit generated headline news day after day – an unusual spotlight on Europe by the US-centric press,” said Scott Maier, associate professor of journalism at the University of Oregon, the EJO’s US partner. Of the 186 stories published in the Wall Street Journal (WSJ), The New York Times(NYT) and New York Post, in the week after the UK vote, 31 argued Brexit was bad for Europe, only two opposed that view, while 39 were neutral. US commentators were more evenly split on whether Brexit could benefit US national interest, with eight articles arguing it would and six taking the opposite view.
News stories framing Brexit in a positive light were relatively rare in both The Wall Street Journaland The New York Times, with coverage “somewhat evenly split between neutral and negative in tone,” Maier said. “The negative stories tended to reflect external realities – collapsing markets, economic uncertainty, political turmoil – rather than a partisan viewpoint. Few stories were stridently opinionated – even commentary was surprisingly nuanced and even-handed,” he added. Even the tabloid newspaper studied, Rupert Murdoch’s News Corp’s New York Post, was “overwhelmingly even-handed,” Maier said.
The dominant theme in the NYT’s coverage of Brexit was negative consequences for the UK as a country. 17 out of 64 stories fell into this category. The negative tone is also reflected in headlines that included words such as fear, anger, frustration, chaos, panic, turmoil, populist revolt, confusion.
An editorial in the NYT entitled A Cry of Anger and Frustration, published the day after the vote, was unequivocal: “The anticipation of a calamity is never the same as the calamity. For all that was said and written about what would or could happen if Britain voted to quit the European Union, nothing quite matches the shock and confusion that Britain and the world felt on Friday.”
The negative way Europe’s news media reported and presented the outcome of the UK’s referendum indicates how the issue might be discussed in national public arenas in the future, according to Dr Raluca Radu, of the University of Bucharest and Director of EJO Romania. The tone of the coverage is signifcant, Radu said: “According to Agenda Setting Theory different coverage of the same reality, in this case of Brexit, can be seen as a prediction on how different governments will position themselves in the future.” [...]
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