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11 October 2018

ロイター:スタンダード&プアーズ、英銀の現行格付けがEU(欧州連合)離脱に伴い得る重大な経済的ショックと必ずしも整合的ではないと警鐘


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British banks could face potential credit rating downgrades if there is a disorderly Brexit as this would be likely to trigger a domestic political crisis and economic contraction, credit rating agency Standard & Poor’s said.


S&P said that UK banks’ earnings and balance sheets would provide a solid cushion against a disorderly Brexit. But the agency also said: “Their current ratings and/or outlooks may not prove to be consistent with a disruptive Brexit accompanied by a severe economic shock.”

Britain and the European Union are aiming to reach agreement on a divorce settlement in time for an EU summit next week.

S&P said that while it expects an orderly departure in March followed by a transition period to the end of 2020, some financial institutions have reached a point of no return and are setting up new hubs in the EU to avoid disruption.

Even with an orderly Brexit, there would be pressure on banks to shift euro-denominated clearing of transactions, such as derivatives, from London-listed LCH to the EU, S&P said.

Fitch Ratings, a rival ratings agency, said that UK banks are well funded to face a no-deal Brexit, but could face challenges if wholesale markets were disrupted for a lengthy period.

“Their ratings should be able to withstand economic deterioration in the no-deal scenarios,” Fitch said in a statement. [...]

Full article on Reuters



© Reuters


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