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07 April 2016

Brexit 'Weekly'


Brexit, EU reform, eurozone integration, round-up of key events in the EU March 2016 and more.

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  Articles from 24 March 2016 - 07 April 2016

  Grahams Articles, Comments & Speeches
 
 
Should supporters of free markets support Britain’s continuing membership of the EU?
Speech by Graham Bishop at the Institute of Economic Affairs (IEA) Dinner.  View Article
Deepening EMU – Round-up of Key Events – March 2016
The UK Government published two reports on the process for withdrawing from the EU and the possible alternatives to EU membership. The CBI and the City of London Corporation made the case for staying In. The EU Council published the Annual Growth Survey and several documents of conclusions on taxes.  View Article
 
  Friends Services
 
 
Deepening EMU – Round-up of Key Events – March 2016
The UK Government published two reports on the process for withdrawing from the EU and the possible alternatives to EU membership. The CBI and the City of London Corporation made the case for staying In. The EU Council published the Annual Growth Survey and several documents of conclusions on taxes.  View Article
 
  Political
 
 
UK Parliament: Government should focus on positive vision for future EU reform
The Lords EU Committee today publishes a report inviting the Government to set out a positive, inclusive vision of the UK's role in a reformed European Union ahead of the referendum on EU membership.  View Article
BBA: UK banking sector believes Brexit would have “negative impact” on their business
According to a survey by the BBA, a majority of member banks based in the UK which responded believe their business would suffer a “negative impact” if the UK left the European Union.  View Article
David Cameron: Britain's choice: economic security with the EU, or a leap into the dark
British Prime Minister writes in The Telegraphthat "no real-world alternative to EU membership would come close to what we have now". The British PM says that "thousands of financial services firms could be forced to move staff or entire offices out of the UK and into the EU" if Brexit happens.  View Article
British Influence: Future UK Trade Patterns - Fantasy & Reality
This paper considers what it would be like for the UK to trade with the EU on the same terms as other non-member countries, including whether increased trade with emerging markets would be an adequate substitute for trade with the EU.   View Article
Financial Times: The Brexiteers’ magical thinking on global trade
Leave campaigners know that trade policy is a jewel in the EU’s crown, writes Peter Sutherland.  View Article
VoxEU: The consequences of Brexit for UK trade and living standards
Across a range of scenarios, Brexit leads to lower income per capita, but the magnitude of the loss depends on what trade policies the UK adopts post-Brexit. To minimise the economic costs of Brexit, the UK would have to remain closely integrated into the Single Market.   View Article
The Economist: Unfavourable trade winds
It would be hard for Britain to negotiate good trade deals post-Brexit, in The Economist's view.  View Article
British Influence: Euro ins and Euro outs - The UK Renegotiation Agreement
This briefing analyses the parts of the EU/UK renegotiation agreement relating to the euro, including protection for Single Market legislation, arrangements for future Eurozone bailouts and a safeguard mechanism that the UK government can trigger if it feels the agreement is about to be breached.  View Article
Yanis Varoufakis: Why we must save the EU
The former Greek Finance Minister writes in The Guardian: "Our EU is disintegrating. Should we accelerate the disintegration of a failed confederacy? If one insists that even small countries can retain their sovereignty, does this mean Brexit is the obvious course? My answer is an emphatic “No!”  View Article
City AM: European businesses believe it is in UK's best interest to remain in the EU
A poll by the Council of British Chambers of Commerce in Europe (COBCOE) found that 89.3 per cent of its members think the UK is better off in the EU. Just 7.1 per cent stated it would be better for the UK to withdraw from the EU.  View Article
City AM: Brexit vote would be bad for business, say two-thirds of insurers
More than two-thirds of insurers, brokers and service providers working in London's international insurance market believe a Brexit would be bad for business.  View Article
The Telegraph: 'Project Fear' working as poll shows Remain taking a narrow lead
The poll for The Telegraph finds that 51 per cent of voters now support Remain – an increase of 4 per cent from last month. Leave’s support has decreased five points to 44 per cent.  View Article
Reuters: Britain's 'in' and 'out' EU campaigns level
The rival campaigns for Britain to stay in or leave the European Union are tied, an online poll by TNS showed.  View Article
Reuters: Brexit risks taking multi-trillion euro trading from London
If Britons vote to leave the EU, London's financial center faces losing one of its top money spinners - the trade in trillions of euros in derivatives - and the European Central Bank will be pushing hard for the business to move onto its patch. Graham Bishop shares his view on the matter.  View Article
Financial Times: Bank of England says Brexit carries risk of credit crunch
The Bank of England has warned that uncertainty over Britain’s membership of the European Union carries the risk of a credit crunch, as it raised the bar for banks to pass this year’s stress tests of the sector.  View Article
Handelsblatt: Morgan Stanley CEO Warns of ‘Considerable’ Impact of Brexit
Morgan Stanley’s chief executive has added his voice to warnings that a British exit from the European Union would have “considerable” consequences for London’s role as a global financial center.  View Article
Financial Times: Sterling fears mount as Britain nears vote on EU
The cost of buying protection against a plunge in the value of sterling after the EU referendum has soared to levels higher than those seen during the 2008 financial crisis, as fears of Brexit mount in financial markets.  View Article
The Telegraph: Vote for Brexit would lead to 'implosion' of the continental bloc, warns LSE chief
Britain's exit from the European Union would lead to the “implosion” of the continental bloc and force the United States to intervene to put “Humpty Dumpty back together again”, the boss of the London Stock Exchange has claimed.  View Article
AMAFI's De Lauzun warns against UK leaving the European Union
Europe will finally have an answer to the Brexit issue on 23 June. If the “leave” vote prevails, our industry will face a major upheaval because the City is the world’s leading financial centre, writes AMAFI Chief Executive Pierre de Lauzun.   View Article
Financial Times: Jeremy Corbyn could hold the key to a Remain EU referendum vote
The UK opposition leader needs to make himself more visible in the debate, writes Sebastian Payne.  View Article
City AM: EU referendum could explain "exodus from investment funds"
The EU referendum vote has been blamed for an "exodus from investment funds". New figures from the Investment Association show the industry saw net outflows of £399m from UK authorised investment funds last month.  View Article
The Guardian: UK finance chiefs delay hiring and investment as Brexit tops risk list
Survey of CFOs shows 75% support staying in EU but many are postponing key financial decisions as jitters spread through British economy.  View Article
IN Facts: The Brexit camp’s own goal
Boris Johnson’s adviser, Gerard Lyons, has set out his view on the consequences of a Brexit for the UK's capital as the most prominent European financial Services hub in “London: The Global Powerhouse”, a recent study from the London mayor’s office.  View Article
Financial Times: A British breakaway would hurt its European partners
Political friction might put a tariff-free British-EU trade regime beyond reach, writes Tony Barber.  View Article
Reuters: Greece’s problems could become Britain’s
Two of the European Union’s biggest risks – Greece’s bailout and the UK vote over EU membership – may collide this summer, writes Hugo Dixon.  View Article
SPIEGEL: Endgame for the IMF-EU Feud over Greece's Debt
Greece hasn't been saved just yet - and the conflict between the IMF and Europe is sharpening. Greece's former Minister of Finance Yanis Varoufakis expects a showdown between IMF and Germany.  View Article
Paul Goldschmidt: The time for conversion is upon us!
From the horror of the latest terrorist attacks emerges a unique opportunity to attack boldly the scourge of terrorism as well as demonstrating simultaneously that the proposals of “populists” and “Euro sceptics” who advocate the primacy of the Nation-State fail to come up with appropriate answers.  View Article
Policy Network: Rebuilding economic and political capital for EU integration
How should recent trends in trust and satisfaction levels within the EU inform policy priorities to strengthen integration?  View Article
Policy Network: The future of the eurozone
The prospects for much-needed reform are notoriously difficult, but a rare window of opportunity will open in the coming years.  View Article
 

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