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26 January 2017

Brexit 'Weekly'


UK Supreme Court ruling, Brexit, Capital Markets Union, euro clearing, Donald Trump, insolvency, European Fiscal Union and more.

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  Articles from 19 January 2017 - 26 January 2017

  Grahams Articles, Comments & Speeches
 
 
Supreme Court on withdrawing the Article 50 Notice: No view! So over to ECJ
Following yesterday’s judgement, anyone with commercial interests in the UK must wonder if this historic `game’ of having/eating cake is now over. The answer will depend on whether giving notice of an “intention” can be withdrawn. The common man would say “of course it can”...  View Article
126th Brussels for Breakfast – Notes
Brussels for Breakfast debate focused on the latest political, economic and financial developments in the European Union: Theresa May's speech, the potential influence of US President Trump, the drive for Capital Markets Union, the location of euro-denominated clearing after the UK leaves the EU...  View Article
State of Play for CMU – Now in a Brexit World
Back in the now-distant days when UK’s European Commissioner Hill was in charge of financial services, his concept of Capital Market Union was widely seen as a major benefit to Britain. Now that the UK is about to serve notice of its intention to quit the EU, what is the outlook for progress on CMU?  View Article
 
  Friends Services
 
 
126th Brussels for Breakfast – Notes
Brussels for Breakfast debate focused on the latest political, economic and financial developments in the European Union: Theresa May's speech, the potential influence of US President Trump, the drive for Capital Markets Union, the location of euro-denominated clearing after the UK leaves the EU...  View Article
 
  Political
 
 
Financial Times: Supreme Court rules MPs must vote on triggering Brexit
In one of most important constitutional cases of modern times, the Supreme Court ruled by a majority of 8 to 3 that the prime minister cannot use royal prerogative to trigger Article 50 and start the UK’s two-year exit from the EU.  View Article
Speech by the President of the Eurogroup, Jeroen Dijsselbloem, at The Future of Europe event
Dijsselbloem discussed the ESM banking programs, the Banking Union, the Italian banking crisis, Brexit, the beginning of Trump's presidency and the forthcoming general elections in Germany, France and the Netherlands.  View Article
Bloomberg: EU says UK Banks must retain its standards to keep access
European Union finance ministers threw down the gauntlet to the U.K., warning that London banks will lose access to the bloc if Britain veers from financial regulations written in Brussels.  View Article
Financial Times: ECB steps up warning on UK euro clearing after Brexit
The European Central Bank has stepped up its warning that it will be difficult for the UK to hang on to its valuable euro-clearing business after Brexit, calling for EU institutions to seek more, not less, oversight of the trade in London once Britain leaves the bloc.  View Article
TheCityUK: The EU's Third Country Regimes and Alternatives to Passporting
A new report, released by the International Regulatory Strategy Group (IRSG) in collaboration with Hogan Lovells, concludes that the focus of the Brexit negotiations should be on designing and delivering a bespoke UK-EU deal rather than reforming or adapting existing frameworks.  View Article
City AM: London must lose clearing crown after hard Brexit, warns BlackRock boss
London will not be able to play a central role in the core functions of European financial markets like clearing in the event of a so-called hard Brexit, the vice chairman of the world’s largest asset manager has warned.  View Article
Financial Services Negotiating Forum: Euro Clearing and Brexit - The Practitioners' View
The FSNForum published its second research piece, considering the EU’s proposal that the clearing of euro-denominated products should be restricted to the Eurozone.  View Article
Wolfgang Münchau: Europe will pay unless the Brexit deal is a fair one
A sudden departure could end up permanently damaging the EU.  View Article
Andrew Duff: How does Europe now see Brexit?
Theresa May’s Lancaster House speech marked the point at which Brexit became a reality for the rest of Europe.  View Article
UK economy set for a ‘hard rebalancing’ says EY ITEM Club
The recent slump in sterling should prompt a significant readjustment of the UK economy away from consumer spending towards exports, according to the EY ITEM Club winter forecast. But while economic growth will be better balanced it is also likely to be slower.   View Article
The Economist: Doing Brexit the hard way
Theresa May opts for a clean break with Europe. Negotiations will still be tricky.  View Article
Bloomberg: Bankers worry post-Brexit transition won’t be long enough
Global banks, already accelerating plans to pull back from London as Brexit looms, are increasingly concerned that Prime Minister Theresa May is underestimating the time they’ll need to adjust to the upcoming changes in trade and regulations.  View Article
Bloomberg: EU courting of London banks may derail 5-year Tobin tax push
German and French efforts to lure U.K.-based banks unsettled by Brexit may stumble over an obstacle of their own making - a planned tax on financial transactions.  View Article
The Guardian: Financial firms in talks with Amsterdam over relocation from London
Dutch capital confirms negotiations in wake of Brexit vote but country’s strict cap on bankers’ bonuses remains an obstacle.  View Article
Financial Times: Private equity looks to Luxembourg for access to single market
Leading private equity groups are applying for the right to market and distribute funds in Luxembourg as the likelihood fades that the UK will remain in the single market, several people familiar with the matter said.  View Article
Investment & Pensions Europe: Global asset owners bracing for Brexit impact
Four in five institutional investors are expecting an impact on operations from Brexit, according to a survey conducted by State Street.  View Article
Commercial Risk Europe: Interest rising in Malta as onshore option for UK insurers post Brexit
Interest among UK insurers in Malta as an option to access the European Union via freedom of services post Brexit is rising steadily, based on attendance at a briefing on the market held recently in London.  View Article
Commercial Risk Europe: May’s Brexit speech will not stop Lloyd’s search for new home in Europe
Lloyd’s will plough on with its contingency plans to open a subsidiary within the EU regardless of the UK government’s position on Brexit, the corporation’s CEO Inga Beale said.  View Article
Bloomberg: May set to defy EU by opening pre-Brexit global trade talks
UK officials are preparing to fire the starting gun on trade negotiations with countries outside the European Union within months, defying warnings from the bloc that such action would be illegal.  View Article
Paul Goldschmidt: What answer to Trump's inaugural address?
The American President’s speech calls for an immediate answer without any complaisance because, in the face of the slogan “America first”, the only possible answer is the assertion of a European Union fully prepared to defend its own interests.  View Article
The Economist: Europe gets ready for Donald Trump
The next American president seems to view the EU with indifference or contempt.  View Article
Financial Times: Take the US president’s protectionism seriously
When the US president said in his inaugural address that “protection will lead to great prosperity and strength”, he was proposing the most dramatic changes in trade policy in years.   View Article
 
  Financial
 
 
European Commission: Public consultation on the Capital Markets Union mid-term review
The consultation offers an opportunity for stakeholders to provide targeted input to complement and advance the actions put forward in the CMU action plan, ahead of the 2017 mid-term review of the action plan.  View Article
Bruegel: Will better insolvency standards for banks help Europe’s debt deleveraging?
Insolvency regimes in the euro area are on the whole costly, lengthy, and recover little value. A new directive proposed by the Commission sensibly aims to strengthen preventive restructuring and to give once-failed entrepreneurs a second chance.   View Article
 
  Economic
 
 
ECB provides further details on APP purchases of assets with yields below the deposit facility rate
The ECB decided that purchases of assets with yields below the DFR will only occur under the PSPP, while no such purchases are foreseen for the CBPP3, ABSPP and CSPP. For each jurisdiction, priority will be given to PSPP purchases of assets with yields above the DFR.  View Article
CEPS: European Fiscal Union: Economic rationale and design challenges
Since a fiscal union could take a constellation of various different forms, this paper first provides an analytical framework pinpointing the five key elements of a fiscal union.   View Article
 

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