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23 February 2017

Brexit 'Weekly'


Brexit, the Brexit bill, euro clearing, CCPs, credit rating agencies, asset management, AIFMD, European Capital Markets, banking supervision, corporate tax avoidance, CCCTB, FTT, EU budget and more.

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  Articles from 16 February 2017 - 23 February 2017

  Grahams Articles, Comments & Speeches
 
 
PM May’s Brexit “Battle Plan”
The truth of the pithy statement by 19th century German General von Moltke must already be ringing in Prime Minister Theresa May's ears: “no plan of operations extends with any certainty beyond the first contact with the main hostile force.” (With translation into Japanese)  View Article
 
  Political
 
 
Jean-Claude Juncker: UK faces hefty Brexit bill
European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker promised two years of "tough negotiation", when discussions on leaving terms get under way between the government and the European Union.  View Article
Financial Times: Brussels focuses on UK’s €60bn exit bill before trade talks
The EU’s Brexit negotiators expect to spend until Christmas solely discussing Britain’s divorce from the bloc, denying London any trade talks until progress is made on a €60bn exit bill and the rights of expatriate citizens.  View Article
Bruegel: The Brexit bill: uncertainties in the estimate of EU pension and sickness insurance liabilities
Pension and sickness insurance liabilities for EU staff could be an especially contentious part of negotiations on an EU-UK financial settlement. This post looks behind the calculation of the alleged cost of pension benefits and concludes that it may be less than half of what it seems.  View Article
Financial Times: Former UK top diplomat warns EU will oppose specific Brexit deals
The former UK ambassador to the EU Sir Ivan Rogers said Merkel and other leaders will reject single market access for some sectors.  View Article
Financial Times: BoE deputy hits back at EU threats over euro clearing
Sir Jon Cunliffe hit back against claims from senior European politicians over stripping the City of London of its role as a hub for eurozone clearing after the Brexit vote.  View Article
IRSG Paper on CCPs post-Brexit
This paper discusses the implications for banks and end-users of financial markets, if the current legal and regulatory framework for Central Counterparties continued unchanged after Brexit.  View Article
PIIE: To make the best of Brexit, the European Union needs to beef up ESMA
With Britain’s departure from the EU single market nearly certain to occur before mid-2019, the EU-27 should not wait to adapt its financial regulatory structure to successfully manage the resulting shifts, argue Nicolas Véron and Dirk Schoenmaker.  View Article
Financial Times: Brexit casts doubt over rating agencies’ future in London
Credit rating agencies’ activities in London have been thrown into doubt by Brexit, as the UK government faces the prospect of cobbling together a new regulatory regime for institutions often blamed for exacerbating the financial crisis.  View Article
The Guardian: Divide and rule tactics could leave UK without deal, say EU politicians
British attempts to “blackmail and divide” EU countries in the run-up to Brexit negotiations will lead to a disastrous “crash-landing” out of the bloc, European politicians have told the Guardian.  View Article
The Guardian: French senate report says UK must not be better off after Brexit
Cross-party inquiry also rules out privileged EU access for some UK sectors and says 200,000 jobs are at stake in the City.  View Article
Bloomberg: UK said to plan Brexit trigger close to EU summit in early March
Prime Minister Theresa May intends to trigger Britain’s withdrawal from the European Union as close as possible to the EU summit taking place on March 9 and March 10, according to two government officials involved in Brexit planning.  View Article
The Guardian: Losing banking jobs to EU 'threatens financial stability across Europe'
Concern growing in the City that Brexit-related bank moves could unravel related professions and risk wider financial turmoil.  View Article
Financial Times: Turkey border gridlock hints at pain to come for Brexit Britain
Truck drivers bemoan long queues and endless paperwork needed to enter EU.  View Article
The Guardian: 'No deal' Brexit would mean £6bn in extra costs for UK exporters
Guardian analysis shows falling back on WTO rules would mean steep bills for industries including fashion, agriculture, cars and ceramics.  View Article
CEPS: Brexit and the Asset Management Industry
In this ECMI Policy Brief, Karel Lannoo observes that Brexit will have a big impact on the asset management industry and he express 3 main reasons.  View Article
Hedgeweek: AIFMD passport no longer seen as the ‘silver lining’
Securing a third-country passport to access European investors is no longer viewed as the go-to solution it once was by the UK investment fund sector, according to Tim Hames, the Director General of the British Private Equity & Venture Capital Association (BVCA).  View Article
Financial Times: Insurers warned of risks to not completing Brexit plans
One of London’s most senior insurance executives has warned that the industry may struggle to complete its Brexit preparations before the UK leaves the EU.  View Article
The Guardian: EU citizens living in the UK could face legal limbo after Brexit
The EU fears millions of its nationals living in the UK will be left stranded in a legal no man’s land after the country leaves the EU because of the weaknesses of the British immigration system, a document obtained by the Observer reveals.  View Article
Bloomberg: Norway pleads to be included in EU-U.K. market 'arrangements'
Norway, the largest natural gas exporter to the U.K., pleaded to be included in any “arrangements” made between the European Union and the UK on access to the internal market.  View Article
Bloomberg: Brexit to hit jobs, wealth and output for years to come, economists say
The broad consensus among economists is for a prolonged Brexit effect that will ultimately diminish output, jobs and wealth to some degree.  View Article
Peter Mandelson: The entire British public, not just the Brexiteers, deserve a vote on the terms of Brexit
Parliament’s role is to deliberate and weigh up the most sensible way to reflect public opinion. Instead, PM May has gone full pelt to avoid any public debate about Britain’s options in Europe while rushing off to Washington to show we are not friendless, writes Lord Mandelson in The Independent.  View Article
Bloomberg: Blair urges Brexit opponents to rise up and fight to stay in EU
Tony Blair urged opponents of Brexit to “rise up” and fight to change the British people’s minds about leaving the European Union, in a speech that aimed to show UK Prime Minister Theresa May that she won’t get everything her own way.  View Article
Bloomberg: Italy forms task force to lure financial firms after Brexit
Italy has formed a task force to lure financial firms from London after Brexit, attempting to attract banks, asset managers and private equity companies to Milan by offering tax incentives for high-skilled talent.  View Article
ACCA: Accountants will be in demand during Brexit process
According to a new study commissioned by AAT and the ACCA, members of Parliament believe accountants will be increasingly in demand during the Brexit process.  View Article
Remarks by President Donald Tusk after his meeting with Vice President of the United States Mike Pence
The European Council president met the US Vice President during the first official visit of a member of the newly appointed Trump administration to Europe.  View Article
CEPS: Regroup and Reform: Ideas for a more responsive and effective European Union
This report offers concrete recommendations for how the Union can show added value to European citizens in the areas of security and justice, socio-economics and monetary policy.  View Article
Bruegel: Europe in a new world order
In this paper the authors explore what the EU’s strategic reaction should be to US diminishing giant policies, and the EU’s role in a world of declining hegemony and shifting balances.  View Article
 
  Financial
 
 
CEPS: Recent developments in European Capital Markets – Key findings from the 2016 ECMI Statistical Package
This paper presents the key findings reported in the 2016 ECMI Statistical Package, a comprehensive and up-to-date database compiled annually on the dynamics of European and global capital markets.  View Article
ECB launches public consultation on draft amendments to the ECB regulation on reporting of supervisory financial information
The amendments update the regulation mainly to reflect changes in the International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS).   View Article
 
  Economic
 
 
Remarks by J.Dijsselbloem and Pierre Moscovici following the Eurogroup meeting
Eurogroup President said the EU and Greek institutions had found enough common ground for the them to go back to Athens.  View Article
Corporate tax avoidance: Council agrees its position on hybrid mismatches
The Council agreed its position on rules aimed at closing down 'hybrid mismatches' with the tax systems of third countries. The directive will contribute to implementation of 2015 OECD recommendations addressing corporate tax base erosion and profit shifting.  View Article
Insurance Europe: Concerns raised on European Commission CCCTB proposal
Insurance Europe has published a position paper on the European Commission’s proposals for a Common Corporate Tax Base (CCTB) and consolidation.  View Article
Investment & Pensions Europe: EU finance ministers consider FTT exemption for pension funds
The 10 EU member states negotiating the possible introduction of a financial transactions tax (FTT) are to carry out further technical analysis of its effects on pension funds and the real economy.  View Article
EBF comment letter on the consultation on disincentives for advisors and intermediaries for potentially aggressive tax planning schemes
The EBF expressed its views on whether there is a need for EU action aimed at introducing more effective disincentives for intermediaries engaged in operations that facilitate tax evasion and tax avoidance.  View Article
 
  Budgetary
 
 
Council sets its priorities for the 2018 EU budget
The Council considers that the EU budget should be prudent while providing sufficient resources in order to strengthen smart and inclusive growth and jobs, and to effectively respond to current and forthcoming challenges, including the measures to tackle the migration and security crises.  View Article
 

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