The People’s Vote campaign has claimed that YouGov findings show that MPs are failing to take account of people who do not discuss the Brexit issue in public.
The pressure group, which is pushing for a second referendum, said that while the analysis did not show that a fresh vote would result in the UK staying in the EU, it did suggest the picture on the doorstep did not reflect numbers changing their mind.
Peter Kellner, a pollster and former president of YouGov, said: “What it does show is that the people that politicians and activists speak to in their local communities could well provide a misleading guide to the public mood. The voice of the private majority is not loud, but it needs to be heard for it is likely to prove decisive.”
A YouGov poll of 3,300 people, commissioned by People’s Vote, found that among the 8% of voters who had had any contact with their MP, six out of every 100 had changed their mind on Brexit. Among those who engaged with some other forum such as a public meeting, radio phone-in or social media, 11 out of 100 were shifting.
In contrast, among the so-called “private majority” – who are believed to include around four out of every five voters – who had not had any of those public-facing interactions, 21 out of every 100 were having second thoughts on their original vote. [...]
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