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24 March 2016

Brexit 'Weekly'


Brussels for Breakfast, Brexit, Canadian CETA deal, US/EU Financial Dialogue, Capital Markets Union, Resolution Regimes, European Council conclusions and more.

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  Articles from 17 March 2016 - 24 March 2016

  Grahams Articles, Comments & Speeches
 
 
119th Brussels for Breakfast: Reflections on the post-Summit Brexit discussion at `B4B’
The major topic of Brussels for Breakfast debate was unpacking the implications of a Brexit for financial services directly, along with other relevant issues such as the Canadian "free trade" deal and the US/EU Financial Dialogue.  View Article
 
  Political
 
 
CBI: Leaving EU would cause a serious shock to UK economy - new PwC analysis
CBI Director-General, Carolyn Fairbairn, has warned that leaving the EU would cause a serious shock to the UK economy, with a potential cost to UK GDP of £100 billion and 950,000 jobs by 2020 and negative echoes that could last many years after that.  View Article
City AM: The economic case against Brexit is stacking up fast - A vote to leave is a vote for a less prosperous Britain
CBI's President Drechsler comments on the CBI/PwC latest report on the consequences of a Brexit - it concluded that leaving the EU would cause a serious shock to the UK economy - and on the Brexiteers' reaction to it.  View Article
The Telegraph: Voting to leave will poison Europe and divide West
When we joined the EU we were the "sick man" of Europe: today, we have the best performing economy, writes former Prime Minister John Major.  View Article
LSE: The question is not whether Brexit will cost the UK in economic terms but how much
The LSE's Centre for Economic Performance latest report focuses on the impact of Brexit through changing trade patterns. Under ‘optimistic’ assumptions, there is a fall in national income of 1.3 per cent (about £850 per household). Under ‘pessimistic’ assumptions, this doubles to 2.6 per cent.  View Article
Moody's: Brexit poses manageable credit challenges for UK and EU
The economic costs of the UK leaving the European Union would outweigh the potential benefits and would have credit implications for a range of bond issuers, including the UK government, banks, insurers and non-financial companies, Moody's Investors Service said in a report.  View Article
City AM: Two out of five small and medium-sized businesses back Brexit, says Zurich
Two out of five British SMEs would vote for a Brexit in the upcoming EU referendum, new research has shown.  View Article
LSE: The City and the EU - There are clear divisions in the UK’s financial services sector over a Brexit
While some of the main trade associations have adopted softly pro-European rhetoric in relation to the referendum, there is no unified view, with clear divisions existing over which course of action would be the most beneficial for businesses.  View Article
Bruegel: The UK’s sovereignty myth
Those who argue that Brexit would let the UK “take back sovereignty” overlook the impact of trade on domestic law-making, argue André Sapir and Guntram B. Wolff.  View Article
Wall Street Journal: Some see slow road out of Europe for UK
If Britons vote to leave the European Union, actually doing so will take years, argues Stephen Fidler.  View Article
OMFIF: Time for two Europes
Whatever the outcome, the referendum will force a deep rethinking and restructuring of the EU. The UK's role would be crucial, so the author hopes it remains a recalcitrant member – to help fundamentally change the Union.  View Article
 
  Financial
 
 
ECB: Capital Markets Union and the European monetary and financial framework
In his speech, ECB's Vítor Constâncio focuses on the ways CMU could contribute to the achievement of the most important tasks of the Eurosystem and to enhance the economic and welfare effects of the euro area.  View Article
FSB publishes Second Thematic Peer Review on Resolution Regimes
This report forms part of a series of peer reviews to support timely and consistent implementation of the Key Attributes of Effective Resolution Regimes for Financial Institutions.   View Article
 
  Economic
 
 
European Council conclusions on jobs, growth and competitiveness and on climate and energy
The European Council endorsed the policy priority areas of the Annual Growth Survey and set up its June meeting goals on EMU, CMU, and the Single Market. It also welcomed the Commission's intention to put in motion an Action Plan on VAT, and published its results on climate and energy.  View Article
LSE: Economic surveillance and coordination mechanisms won’t work without proper scrutiny by national parliaments
After the European Council of 17-18 March endorsed the policy priority areas of the Annual Growth Survey, Valentin Kreilinger writes that national parliaments can play a key role in scrutinising the economic policy surveillance and coordination of the so called ‘European Semester’.  View Article
Bruegel: Europe at a crossroads: How to achieve efficient economic governance in the euro area?
In his speech, the Governor of Banque de France says that the lack of economic coordination has a high growth cost for euro area citizens, and that full coordination can only be achieved by setting up a legitimate decision-making institution, embodied by a Finance Minister of the euro area.  View Article
 

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