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16 March 2017

Brexit 'Weekly'


Multi-speed Europe, Frexit, Greece, capital markets union mid-term review, sovereign bond holdings, European Council, Brexit and more.

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Graham's Articles, Comments & Speeches
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Brexit & UK About this email

  Articles from 09 March 2017 - 16 March 2017

  Grahams Articles, Comments & Speeches
 
 
128th Brussels for Breakfast – Notes
As the triggering of Article 50 approaches, so does the Summit that marks the 60th anniversary of the Treaties that laid the foundations of the EU. The increasing friction between Eurosceptics and the EU27, and an apparent absence of direction were portrayed in the Commission's White Paper.   View Article
 
  Political
 
 
Financial Times: The multi-speed Europe idea returns out of necessity
The best option is a structure with an integrated core and a looser outer layer, argues Wolfgang Münchau.  View Article
Tajani: “Europe needs to be changed not weakened”
Antonio Tajani made the case for European unity in his first speech as Parliament President at the start of a Council summit. “Today more than ever we can see how important European unity is,” he told political leaders at the summit in Brussels.  View Article
Verfassungsblog: The Asymmetric Bet of Europe
Giuseppe Martinico shares some thoughts on one of the options recalled by the White Paper and then endorsed by France, Germany, Italy and Spain in a recent meeting, namely that of an asymmetric Europe.   View Article
Bruegel: Debunking 5 myths about Frexit
‘Frexit’ supporters promise that the benefits of leaving the euro would be substantial for the French economy,and that the exit process would be a piece of cake. This blog post shows that these claims are greatly exaggerated if not outright lies.  View Article
Yannis Stournaras: Recent economic and financial developments in Greece
The Governor of the Bank of Greece said the Greek economy could start growing again and that euro area membership is a protective shield for Greece.  View Article
 
  Financial
 
 
ICMA response to the commission consultation on capital markets union mid-term review
ICMA’s response is preceded by two brief notes on broader themes: the importance of minimising the impact of UK withdrawal from the EU on the Capital Markets Union project; and the importance of ensuring EU global competitiveness.  View Article
EBA to centralise notifications on resolution cases and use of DGS funds across the EU
The European Banking Authority set up a dedicated section on its website to centralise information on crisis prevention, management liquidation and resolution of credit institutions in the Union based on the notifications received from the respective national authorities.  View Article
Bundesbank's Dombret: Between global competition and the regional principle – which bank needs which rules?
Andreas Dombret outlines a number of proposals that can better align the supervisory rules with the low-risk operations of small credit institutions in the future while nonetheless adhering to international standards.  View Article
 
  Economic
 
 
Bruegel: Sovereign bond holdings in the euro area – the impact of QE
In this post, authors look at the effect of QE on sectoral holdings of government bonds, updating our calculations published in May and November 2016.  View Article
John Nugée: Central banking: edging closer to normality
After seven long years of unorthodox monetary policy, the major central banks are beginning to consider not just if, but when and how to return to more normal operations.   View Article
 
  Brexit & UK
 
 
Report by President Donald Tusk to the European Parliament on the European Council and the informal meeting
Council President Donald Tusk briefed the Parliament on the issues discussed during the meetings, and said that a "no deal scenario" in the upcoming Brexit negotiations "would be bad for everyone, but above all for the UK."  View Article
Commons' Foreign Affairs Committee: Article 50: 'Dereliction of duty' to fail to plan for 'no deal'
Even with all sides entering negotiations with goodwill and the desire for a successful outcome, the Foreign Affairs Committee points out in its report that negotiations could stall or be derailed and the two years could end with no deal between the UK and the 27 Member States.  View Article
Financial Times: MEPs seek ‘extraterritorial’ oversight on London euro clearing
Members of the European Parliament have urged regulators to press for “extraterritorial” oversight of the City of London after Brexit as a condition for allowing the UK financial centre to keep its dominance in the lucrative market for clearing euro-denominated derivatives.  View Article
Financial Times: European Parliament signals tough line on Brexit
The European Parliament will demand that Britain continue obeying European courts as a condition of a smooth transition out of the EU, according to drafts of its first official response to the UK triggering Brexit talks.  View Article
Bloomberg: German Brexit memo stresses EU unity will be paramount in talks
The German government has told ministry staff that its chief aim in the upcoming Brexit negotiations is to stop the UK from dividing the European Union, stressing that the benefits of European integration during the past seven decades must be safeguarded.  View Article
Bloomberg: EU could force May to wait until June to start Brexit talks
The 27 other members of the EU have pinpointed a meeting of government ministers in Luxembourg on June 20 as the moment to authorize the opening of talks, two EU officials said.   View Article
Bloomberg: UK Parliament gives Theresa May permission to start Brexit
UK Prime Minister Theresa May is preparing to trigger Brexit in the last week of March after securing the permission of lawmakers to begin two years of talks with the European Union.  View Article
Open Britain: Trading relationships between the EU and G20 nations
This research shows that no other G20 nation trades with the European Union entirely under World Trade Organisation rules. All have some preferential trading relationships in place, even if these fall short of a comprehensive Free Trade Agreement (FTA).   View Article
The Telegraph: UK looks to supercharge EU trade deals post-Brexit
Britain is looking for ways to take on the EU’s free trade deals with countries around the world after Brexit - then use its new independence to cut taxes and regulatory barriers to trade, boosting the power of the deals.  View Article
City AM: Banking pressure group, the British Bankers' Association, plans to lobby the EU27
The UK's pressure group for the banking industry is pulling together plans to lobby the EU27 for a Brexit deal that will benefit all involved, just days before Prime Minister Theresa May is expected to pull the trigger on Article 50.  View Article
Bloomberg: UK banks said to seek closer US financial ties after Brexit
Top executives from the UK and US’s largest banks have set up a group to foster closer ties in financial services between the two countries after Britain leaves the European Union, according to two people familiar with the matter.  View Article
EU External Affairs Sub-Committee: Customs admin and delays a serious concern for firms after Brexit
Lords said a UK-EU trade deal must avoid the imposition of tariffs on trade in both directions and that the Government must try to agree a transitional arrangement with the EU since the two-year deadline for an agreement might be too ambitious and therefore it'll be very difficult to be met.  View Article
New Europe: UK’s Brexit position worsens as OLAF endangers future customs union
EU sources told New Europe that in the context of the Brexit negotiations, the European Commission will use the damning evidence from the OLAF report on the smuggling of Chinese products to the European Union to prevent the UK from having a customs union agreement with the EU post-Brexit.  View Article
Bloomberg: Bank of America likely to choose Dublin for main EU base after Brexit
Bank of America Corp. views Dublin as its default destination for a new hub inside the European Union if Brexit means the UK loses easy access to the single market, according to one of the firm’s top executives in Germany.  View Article
Bloomberg: Konnichiwa Amsterdam: Japan banks seek new home after Brexit
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc. and Mizuho Financial Group Inc. are bolstering their units in the Dutch city, where they both hold a banking license that enables them to serve clients throughout the European Union.   View Article
Financial Times: AIG to set up new base in Luxembourg to service EU business
AIG is to set up a new base in Luxembourg after the UK leaves the EU as the likely loss of passporting rights post Brexit has forced the US insurer to look for an alternative location to London from which to service EU business.  View Article
Financial Times: Nicola Sturgeon eyes autumn 2018 for new Scottish independence vote
Scotland's first minister’s comments came as a new opinion poll suggested half of people likely to vote in Scotland would now back leaving the UK - before the UK leaves the EU - if given the chance.  View Article
NIESR: Hard Brexit and #Indyref2
Brexit need not have led to a second Scottish referendum. But the UK Government’s policy of ever harder Brexit raises issues of political legitimacy north of the border.   View Article
LSE: The Commission’s White Paper on the Future of Europe – a case of what might have been…
According to Iain Begg, the main contribution of the paper may be to push the EU27 to accept the reality of an EU without the UK, but in doing so it sets out scenarios that, had they been plausible options only a year ago, would have been music to British ears.  View Article
EPC: What kind of divorce: a clean, hard Brexit or a messy, confrontational Brexfast?
Fabian Zuleeg assesses the options for the upcoming Brexit negotiations and argues that British lawmakers and companies need to start contingency planning for how to deal with the real possibility of a messy Brexfast.  View Article
Financial Times: Three visions of UK economy take shape on verge of Brexit talks
‘Muddling through’ most likely but more dramatic outcomes cannot be discounted, writes Chris Giles.   View Article
Sharon Donnery: Some perspectives on Brexit
The Deputy Governor of the Central Bank of Ireland discussed the impact of Brexit on Ireland's economy: given Ireland's high level of exposure to the UK economy, the official expects the overall effect to be negative and material.  View Article
Open Britain: New poll reveals hard Brexit is alienating a generation of young people
A new poll of students has revealed that they feel their views on Brexit are being ignored by the Government. They mainly voted Remain in the referendum; are pessimistic about the outcome of the negotiations; oppose hard Brexit; and overwhelmingly want to have a final say over the Brexit deal.  View Article
 

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