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Zurich and London are among the regions in which inhabitants benefit the most, with income gains of over 2,000 euros. This means that some of the biggest winners in the Single Market are currently not EU members or could be leaving the EU and the Single Market in the future. These are the results of a comprehensive analysis by us, for which economists Giordano Mion (University of Sussex) and Dominic Ponattu (Bertelsmann Stiftung) examined more than 250 regions in Europe with regard to income gains from the EU Single Market. In concrete terms, the study analyzes the effects of the internal market on the gross domestic product per capita and year.
European trend: Core beats periphery
There are two major trends across Europe: Firstly, it is not the largest economies that are benefiting the most, but above all relatively small, but strong exporting nations. Secondly, countries and regions in the geographical center (the "core") of Europe see the strongest per capita gains from the Single Market and benefit much more than EU members in the south or east of the continent.
The largest income gains per person and country are recorded by Switzerland (2,900 euros), Luxembourg (2,800 euros) and Ireland (1,900 euros). Belgium, Austria and the Netherlands are also among the top profiteers. "The biggest winners are small countries that trade a lot and have competitive economies," says Dominic Ponattu, co-author of the study. For countries such as the Netherlands or Austria the Single Market is invaluable because they have competitive industries, but are dependent on exports given their small domestic markets," says Ponattu. In Southern Europe, on the other hand, income gains from the Single Market are much lower, partly because competitiveness lags behind. For example, this is the case in Spain (590 euros per capita and year), Portugal (500 euros) or Greece (400 euros).
At the regional level, the winners are mainly industrial and urban regions. These regions are also characterized by a strong influx of skilled workers and firms, as the removal of borders promotes the EU-wide agglomeration of industries in major hubs: Cities such as Berlin benefit from a growing start-up scene, London and Zurich from the financial industry. Zurich is one of the biggest winners with per capita income gains of 3,590 euros, followed by London (2,700 euros) and Brussels (2,470 euros). [...]
United Kingdom: South profits more than North
In the UK, it is interesting to note that some of the regions that benefit most from the EU Single Market have voted in favor of Brexit. One example is the Kent region, in the south of England, where relative income gains from the EU Single Market are among the highest in the country.
At the same time, the gap between UK regions' gains is particularly wide compared to other countries. In the south, many regions benefit strongly from the EU's internal market, such as London (2,700 euros per capita) and the Berkshire/Oxfordshire region (985 euros). In the north, on the other hand, income gains from the Single Market are well below the national average, which is at around 500 to 600 euros per capita. "A complete withdrawal of the UK from the EU Single Market would hit not only London hard, but also other productive regions in the country," says Dominic Ponattu.
Potential for more growth: Strengthen services trade, promote competitiveness in laggard regions
Although the EU Single Market is already having a positive impact on incomes across Europe, it holds the potential for further welfare gains. This is particularly true for trade in services: Although they already account for around 75 percent of value added in the EU, currently only around 30 percent of all EU exports are services. More common standards and EU-wide rules for competition can increase trade in services. At the same time, EU regions currently lagging behind should be supported with targeted investments in their digital infrastructure and innovation capacity. This would allow them to benefit more strongly from the Single Market and help these regions catch up.