Exploring ‘Bregret’: public attitudes to Brexit, seven years on

10 October 2023

Voters feel negatively about the course that Brexit has taken so far. Even among Leave voters, less than one in five feel that Brexit is going well, although most seem hesitant about making a definitive assessment.

Brexit refuses to go away. Over seven years since the referendum, and over three and a half since the UK finally left the European Union, the issue continues to generate headlines and spark furious debate. One reason for this is a sense that public opinion is still evolving. There has been much talk of ‘Brexit regret’ among Leave voters.

Given this, Public First and UK in a Changing Europe decided to talk to Leave voters to hear from them what they thought. In a survey carried out in May and June 2023 and a series of focus groups held between May and September, a series of questions were posed to them about what they think about Brexit, how it has gone, whether they have changed their minds and what they think the future holds. This report describes the findings.

 
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Voters feel negatively about the course that Brexit has taken so far. Even
among Leave voters, less than one in five feel that Brexit is going well,
although most seem hesitant about making a definitive assessment.
• The most common reasons people feel Brexit is going poorly are economic
(increased prices, staff shortages, and a weaker economy more generally).
This is the case for both Remain and Leave voters.
• The public associates several daily life issues, including travel delays (36%),
increases in cost of living (79%), and staff vacancies across sectors (42%
in health and social care, 40% in hospitality), to some extent with Brexit.
Many also agree that other global events, such as the Coronavirus pandemic
and the war in Ukraine, have contributed to these issues.
• Most voters are pessimistic about the impact of Brexit in the long run.
Less than a third of respondents (27%) think Brexit will turn out well.
The majority of Leave voters, however, think it will (61%), although this
optimism is much less prevalent among those Leave voters who feel Brexit is
going badly (19%).
• Whilst many Leave voters think Brexit is not going well at the moment, this
does not necessarily mean they regret having voted Leave.
• A large majority of Leave voters think leaving the EU could have benefited
the UK economy, but these opportunities have not been grasped (70%). This
is true both for those who would now back Remain (56%), and those Leavers
who think Brexit is going badly (58%).
• Immigration played an important role in convincing people to vote Leave. Yet
this importance tends to be overestimated by non-Leave voters, especially
relative to other issues, such as control over the lawmaking process, and
independence from EU institutions.
• Leave voters are divided on whether Brexit will ultimately enable the UK to
reduce net migration.
• The vast majority of voters say they would vote the same way as they did in
2016, knowing what they do now. However, Leave voters are more likely to
say they would have voted differently than Remainers (16% vs 6%).

• Respondents expressed a real sense of fatigue with the Brexit debate,
and relatively high levels of indifference with regards to the future of the
UK’s relationship with the EU. This perhaps explains why we did not find
overwhelming support for another referendum. Though a plurality of voters
supported it, a significant proportion also opposed it (46% vs 32%).
• There is however clear support (53% net) for a closer relationship with the
EU, including among Leave voters.
• We find high levels of distrust towards politicians, and a sense that Brexit
was used instrumentally by the Conservative Party rather than being a
response to the public’s genuine concerns about Europe.
• Many Leave voters also attribute Brexit’s failure to a lack of competence
amongst British political leaders.51% of Leave voters who think Brexit
could have turned out well but didn’t cite UK politicians’ ineffectiveness as a
reason.

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