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Chaos has engulfed the Brexit process as Conservative MPs on both sides of the debate rebel against the Prime Minister’s negotiated deal, leading to increased calls for a second referendum.
Overall, close to half of Britons (47%) believe that Remain would now win in a repeat of the 2016 vote. By contrast, only 29% of people think that Leave would prevail. The remaining 24% don’t know.
Remain voters are the most confident. Of those who cast their ballot to keep Britain connected to the continent in 2016, almost three quarters (72%) now think that Remain would win a new vote, compared to only 9% who think Leave would emerge victorious once again.
Leave voters are less certain. Just over half (53%) believe their side would come away with the most votes in a new contest, while a quarter (26%) expect their opponents to triumph. There were fairly even proportions of “don’t know” responses on either side (22% of Leave voters, 19% of Remain voters).
By 45% to 33%, Conservative voters think that Leave would prevail, while Labour and Lib Dem voters think that Remain would succeed by 60% to 20% and 67% to 12% respectively.