A vicious sell-off in risky assets jolts stablecoins
IT HAS BEEN a vicious year for financial
markets, and more punishing still for crypto assets. More than half the
market capitalisation of cryptocurrencies has been wiped out since
November. On May 12th bitcoin traded at around $29,000, just 40% of its
all-time high in November; ether has slumped by a similar amount. The
share price of the leading crypto-industry stock, Coinbase, an exchange,
is half what it was a week ago, falling 26% in a single day after it
reported earnings and disclosed that users’ deposits on its platform
were not necessarily protected in the event that the firm went bust. The
sell-off comes at the same time as tech stocks, high-yield bonds and
other risky assets have swooned as the Federal Reserve has begun raising
interest rates.
Much of the technology
(and the jargon) of the crypto-sphere is bewildering, still, to most
people in traditional finance. Yet the dynamics of recent days bear the
hallmarks of spectacular financial collapses of old. Take what has
happened to stablecoins, a type of cryptocurrency that is pegged to
another currency, sometimes a conventional one like the dollar. These
are part of the plumbing of the crypto system: they act as a bridge
between conventional banks, where people use dollars, and the
“on-blockchain” world, where people use crypto. It is stablecoins’
interaction with traditional finance that has led regulators to fret
about the impact they could have on financial stability.
Added
together all stablecoins, the largest of which are tether and USD coin,
operated by Circle, are worth around $170bn. Terra, a smaller
stablecoin that had a market capitalisation of $18.7bn a week ago, has
unravelled in recent days. Even tether’s peg came under pressure on May
12th. The events resemble the confidence crises that have preceded every
bank run.
Every stablecoin has a
mechanism to maintain its peg. The simplest (and safest) method is to
hold a dollar in a bank account, or in safe, liquid assets like Treasury
bills, for each stablecoin token. The token can be traded freely by
buyers and sellers; when a seller wants to offload their stablecoin they
can either sell it on the open market or redeem it for its dollar value
from the issuer. USD coin uses this method.
Others,
like terra, are called “algorithmic stablecoins” because they use an
automated process to support the peg. But their main distinguishing
feature is the way in which they are backed. Terra is backed with luna, a
cryptocurrency issued by the same firm that issues terra. The theory
was that holders of terra could always redeem it for one dollar’s worth
of luna. A week ago, when luna was trading at $85 a piece, that meant a
terra holder could redeem it for 0.0118 lunas. The process was managed
by a smart contract—lines of code that execute automated
transactions—that created more luna when a terra holder wanted to
redeem. If for some reason terra was trading at less than $1 then
arbitrageurs would swoop in, buy a terra, redeem it for luna and sell
them for a profit....