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Over the last six months, Renew’s projected seat wins for June’s EU elections have decreased from 89 to 82, just two seats ahead of the European Conservatives and Reformists (ECR), whose estimate is currently at 80. If liberals’ downward trend continues, it will see ECR become the fourth-largest political force in the European Parliament.
The poll update corroborates predictions that the right-wing is set to make notable gains when Europeans head to the polls.
Worth noting is the growing distance between the two biggest political groups, the socialists (S&D) and centre-right (EPP). The EPP has grown from 160 in August to currently 180, while S&D has lost six seats since August, to a total of 140 now. Compared to the current seat distribution, however, not much changes, as S&D holds 141 and EPP 179.