01 February 2017

Solvency II one year on: successfully implemented, but excessive conservativeness risks harming consumers, long-term investment and economy

The many layers of conservativeness built into the design of Solvency II and its tendency to treat insurers like traders instead of long-term investors could harm consumers, long-term investment and the economy. Policymakers need to take action to make the framework more reflective of reality.

For example, the scenario, known as the base case, that Solvency II requires insurers to use when calculating their liabilities — the assets they need to back policyholder claims — assumes that interest rates will stay low for the next 20 years. However, this is generally considered to be an unlikely scenario. 

Other examples of conservativeness in Solvency II include:

• Insurers are generally required to ignore the actual yields they expect to earn on the assets backing liabilities, and assume that they invest all of their assets into almost risk-free investments, earning virtually no return. Although earnings are currently low compared to the past, it is still possible to earn some return on portfolios of equities, property, bonds, covered bonds etc.
• Again, when calculating liabilities, insurers must include notional elements (the risk margin and the market value of options) that are not needed to actually pay claims. When Solvency II was designed, these were not expected to be large amounts, but in practice can be very large and be another source of artificial volatility.

Issues that require attention include:

• The need for capital requirements to reflect the true risks that insurers face. Currently, when insurers make long-term investments, Solvency II treats them as if they are short-term traders and bases the risk measurement on short-term risks. While there has been work to address this issue, unnecessary barriers to investment and costs remain, impacting all forms of long-term investment including equity, corporate bonds and property. Unless fully addressed, this could have a range of negative effects, including reduced long-term investment by insurers, lower returns and less protection for policyholders and insurers, which can be pushed towards more pro-cyclical behaviour.
• Simplifications and practical application of the proportionality provisions allowed by Solvency II. This will help Solvency II to become more workable in practice and avoid unnecessary costs for all insurers, and is particularly important for small and medium size insurance companies.
• More appropriate calibrations and methods to better reflect the true risks and liabilities in several specific areas including longevity risk, catastrophe risk and currency risk.

After 15 years of development, Solvency II introduced fundamental changes in how insurers are regulated and set very high requirements for solvency capital, internal risk management and reporting. These requirements ensure extremely high levels of protection for customers and harmonisation of rules across Europe. During Solvency II’s development, problems were encountered in devising a way to properly measure the investment risks faced by insurers who provide guarantees to customers. This led to delays, but also to vital improvements to the framework in the form of changes, referred to as the long-term guarantee (LTG) measures, to better reflect the real economics and risks of long-term insurance. 

Press release

© InsuranceEurope