The accelerated decrease in the use of cash driven by the Covid-19 pandemic has strengthened the possibility of central banks issuing some pragmatic form of retail CBDC as an improved electronic version of cash... designing CBDCs in such a way that they to reserve financial intermediation.
This paper discusses how different
CBDC attributes (anonymity, remuneration, value-added services or caps
on the holdings) can limit the substitutability between bank deposits
and CBDCs in different situations.
1. The Covid-19 crisis and the rationale for a retail CBDC
The Covid-19 crisis has brought about a
number of changes in economic behaviour as a result of the lockdown and
the need of maintaining social distancing. Two of the most prominent
changes are the increase in e-commerce transactions and the
generalization of credit card payments, preferably through contactless
technology. Both trends have reduced the use of cash as a means of
payment, generating a certain stigma for banknotes.
These trends happen at a time when there
is a debate on the possibility of central banks issuing a digital form
of cash (the so-called central bank digital currencies, CBDCs), which
would obviously overcome the drawbacks of cash as a disease transmitter
as well as its limitations in e-commerce, hence the renewed interest on
CBDCs as a result of the pandemic. The initial debates were mostly
academic1, but the discussion rapidly moved to the policy arena2. A few central banks are developing pilots on use cases, with Sweden and China as the frontrunners.
Many central banks that analyzed the
topic over recent years were hesitant to move forward, because of the
problems related to anonymity and the likely disruption of financial
intermediation. In very simplistic terms, if kept anonymous CBDCs will
raise issues of AML related transactions; if identified, they will
compete with bank deposits and probably disrupt financial intermediation
as we know it. Furthermore, the accumulation of functions in central
banks that CBDCs imply may jeopardize their independence, which is
already under scrutiny. Confronted with this dilemma, many central banks
decided to keep their projects on hold.
In this context the announcement by
Facebook of the launch of Libra in June 2019 reignited interest in CBDCs
for many central banks. The threat of a powerful BigTech issuing a
stablecoin that may compete with fiat currencies triggered a reaction in
the central banking community: on the one hand, the authorities raised
questions on the nature of Libra and its regulatory treatment; and, on
the other hand, they looked back at plans for CBDCs with a more positive
attitude. This fresh look at CBDCs was accompanied by a more pragmatic
approach, with more nuanced proposals that lessen the dilemmas implied
in the first, more academic proposals. In particular, some of these new
proposals focus on modalities that rely on public-private partnerships
rather than full provision by the central bank. There is also increasing
elaboration on variants that limit the extent of the dilemmas posed by
anonymity.
All this debate was stimulated by the
Covid-19 crisis. The stigma of cash, compounded with the above-mentioned
reasons, is convincing many central banks that they should offer a
means of payment that links them directly with the population and does
not rely entirely on private providers. Furthermore, for many countries
the payments space is dominated by a few foreign international card
schemes, which is an additional factor, since the Covid crisis raised
the value of national self-reliance on critical services in the
authorities’ preferences. It is important to clarify that not all the
authorities have the same view in this respect. Some of them might not
see a significant problem in relying on a few foreign credit card
providers for the retail payments infrastructure, to the extent that
they are efficient and function according to local regulations. But
after Covid the number of countries whose authorities are concerned on
national sovereignty and the importance of preserving a role for the
central bank in the provision of retail means of payment has probably
increased3.
One reason mentioned by some central banks4
for the provision of CBDCs is the need to offer an alternative for
retail users that do not want or cannot afford to have a payment card,
or even a bank account. According to this view, it is the obligation of
the central bank to provide an affordable means of payment that does not
depend on private firms’ solutions that are costly and may not be
appropriate for certain segments of the population. Financial inclusion
considerations are often mentioned in this context. In general, central
banks also mention the safety and robustness of payments as one of the
main motivations for issuing CBDCs (see figure).5
Full paper SUERF Policy Note, Issue No 183 (0.51 MB)">SUERF Policy Note, Issue No 183" class="ikonica" width="20" height="20">SUERF Policy Note, Issue No 183 (0.51 MB)
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