The outcome of the Trade and Cooperation Agreement (TCA) for trade in financial services between the EU and UK deal was even more paltry than expected. The TCA does not even institute a dedicated financial services committee, but rather a general one for services.
      
    
    
       Nevertheless, there is a deal that provides for an umbrella, a
 governance structure, and a mechanism for dispute settlement and 
cooperation in a variety of fields, as might be expected for a former 
member and close neighbour. Joint actions have also been envisaged on 
money laundering (which remains problematic even within the EU), 
cybersecurity, and in financial programmes of the European Investment 
Bank (EIB). The agreement contains a long list of member states’ 
specific market access reservations, notably on financial data 
processing services – a clear sign that this is no longer a Union but a 
loose trade agreement. Only supervisory equivalence agreements between 
both parties covering some aspects of the free provision of financial 
services could somehow maintain the appearance of the frictionless trade
 of before.
From a once intense relationship in financial services, which was 
measured by the number of ‘passports’ or single licences used, capital 
flows and the high number of transactions in both directions, the TCA is
 a huge climbdown from the former close trade relationship. However, it 
was years in the making and thus allowed all providers to prepare for 
the new normal, which banks, insurance companies, financial 
infrastructures and related service providers have largely done.
The first working day of the new TCA, in its provisional form, saw no
 great change; there were no major hiccups and some businesses had 
already relocated to the EU with the new framework, often on platforms 
created by UK-based providers. But this likely heralds the beginning of 
the slow decline of the all-powerful City of London, whose rise 
coincided with the launch of the single market and expanded ever since 
thanks to passporting, and the renewed fragmentation of financial 
services over several European financial centres.
The agreement has a dedicated chapter on cross-border financial 
services and investment, following the (most favoured) national 
treatment and anti-discrimination rules (Section 5.37 of the TCA). But 
it provides for a prudential carve-out, as in other international trade 
agreements, allowing each party to adopt or maintain measures deemed 
necessary for consumer and investor protection or the stability of its 
financial system. This clause can easily be invoked in the financial 
services domain for protectionist reasons, and has never been challenged
 in international courts.
The City’s disappointment at the non-existence of a dedicated 
financial services committee in the TCA was understandable. The UK’s 
first draft of the Comprehensive Free Trade Agreement
 (CFTA) featured a financial services committee, which is obvious given 
the importance of this sector to the UK economy. This committee was 
supposed to function as a first-level dispute settlement entity and be 
composed of competent persons from each side. The draft also contained a
 specific annex related to the functioning of equivalence decisions. 
None of this is in the final TCA, as other issues seem to have taken 
priority, given their importance for the UK electorate. But the text had
 been kept among a close circle before the deal was formally announced 
on the 24 December 2020, hence the surprise at the change. Nevertheless,
 financial services will be dealt with in a generic services committee, 
and the respective EU supervisory and regulatory entities have announced
 several Memoranda of Understanding (MoUs) with their counterparts in 
the UK.
Other parts of the agreement and its various provisions are also 
important to maintaining market access for finance providers. Key parts 
in this regard are free cross-border data flows and the cooperation for 
cybersecurity.
- Cross-border data flows (Part 2, Title III): the UK can be 
part of the EU data space, or a single data space, with no requirements 
for data or server localisation, and all this implies for business. This
 will require adequacy decisions between the EU and UK data protection 
rules, which still need some additional rulemaking on both sides, a 
GDPR-equivalent regime on the UK side, and an additional proposal by the
 EU Commission on data flows.
 - Cybersecurity (Part 4, Title II): the UK will also 
participate in the EU’s cyberspace, and both will cooperate on 
international fora to promote cyber-resilience. Moreover, the UK will be
 part of the EU’s Computer Emergency Response Team (EU-CERT), in the 
cooperation group of the Network Security Directive (EU/2016/1148), and 
in the EU Agency for Cybersecurity (ENISA) (subject to an appropriate 
financial contribution).
 
In addition, combating money laundering is a specific engagement of 
the parties in the TCA (Part2, Title X), with provisions regarding the 
exchange of information, mutual assistance and the transparency of 
beneficial owner registers, while there was only one reference to money 
laundering in the UK’s first draft. Furthermore, there is a requirement 
to provide information on bank accounts and transactions (Part 3, Title 
XI), and to assist with judicial prosecution in the case of money 
laundering.
Equivalence assessments of each other’s supervisory systems are not referred to in the FTA, but in a Joint Declaration
 that states: “the EU and the UK agree to establish structured 
regulatory cooperation on financial services, with the aim of 
establishing a durable and stable relationship between autonomous 
jurisdictions.” This includes: bilateral exchanges of views relating to 
regulatory initiatives; transparency and appropriate dialogue in the 
adoption, suspension and withdrawal of equivalence decisions; and 
enhanced cooperation and coordination, including in international bodies
 as appropriate.
So far, the EU concluded one agreement of importance, the equivalence
 of the supervision of UK clearing facilities, as contained in the 2014 
European Market Infrastructures regulation (EMIR). This is far less than
 what the EU has concluded with other third countries so far, but is 
also less than the temporary relief which the UK has granted to EU 
service providers, as can be observed in this table.
 Although the European Commission has received the UK’s replies to the 
Commission’s questionnaires covering 28 equivalence areas, further 
clarifications are needed.[1] Decisions will be assessed only “when they are in the EU’s interest”.
As a step towards more equivalence decisions, but mostly to enhance 
supervisory cooperation, the EU, the member states and UK authorities 
have concluded a series of MoUs.
 The directorate general in charge, DG FISMA, and the UK Treasury plan 
to conclude an MoU on regulatory cooperation. However, this broad and 
non-binding commitment (more of an administrative than a policy tool), 
which is to be agreed by March, is noticeably different from the 
guaranteed single market access that UK financial service firms enjoyed 
until 31 December 2020.
The equivalence process should however not be seen as a unilateral 
process only. The UK itself will undoubtedly know where to go for 
equivalence, and where it should go its own way now that it can decide 
more quickly than as a member of the EU. The UK has already indicated 
that it will diverge in certain areas, such as on the settlement regime 
as contained in the central securities depositories regulation (CSDR), 
on the prudential regime for investment firms as contained in the 
investment firm regulation (IFR), or on the listing rules.
The strict EU bonus regime for financial services providers was never
 endorsed by the UK either, so change can be expected here. But the EU 
itself has already changed laws as well, as in the MiFID  quick- fix 
amendments adopted in February 2021. These changes are certainly not to 
the liking of the UK authorities because they hinder equivalence in 
investment services.
The TCA sections on the level playing field (LPF), which mostly 
concern the manufacturing sector, will likely have no effect on 
financial services but could cause problems for the relationship 
overall. If there are significant divergences (e.g. on labour and social
 regulations, environment and climate, taxation levels of protection), 
that could have a material impact on trade or investment between the EU 
and UK. Rebalancing measures may be introduced to address the 
distortions, potentially ahead of an arbitration panel. The same applies
 for subsidies, where remedial measures could be requested.
The LPF debate demonstrates the EU’s fear of having a serious 
competitor following other rules at its backdoor, particularly one that 
is a significant competitor in financial services. Financial regulation 
is only one of the elements on which a financial centre competes; there 
is also human capital (expertise); a critical mass of players, 
activities and professions; infrastructure and interconnectedness; and 
reputation and proximity.
As a leading financial centre on all these aspects, the City of 
London – and more broadly the UK – will continue to play an important 
role in European and global financial services, until a true competitor 
emerges on the continent. But this competition is emerging – given the 
obligation to be established within the EU to provide certain services, 
such as share trading.
[1]
 In particular regarding how the UK will diverge from EU frameworks, how
 it will use its supervisory discretion regarding EU firms, and how the 
UK’s temporary regimes will affect EU firms.
CEPS
      
      
      
      
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