Today’s world is characterized by a dual monetary system, involving privately-issued money—by banks of all types, telecom companies, or specialized payment providers—built upon a foundation of publicly-issued money—by central banks.
We value innovation and diversity—including in money. In the same
day, we might pay by swiping a card, waving a phone, or clicking a
mouse. Or we might hand over notes and coins, though in many countries
increasingly less often.
Today’s world is characterized by a dual monetary system, involving
privately-issued money—by banks of all types, telecom companies, or
specialized payment providers—built upon a foundation of publicly-issued
money—by central banks. While not perfect, this system offers
significant advantages, including: innovation and product diversity,
mostly provided by the private sector, and stability and efficiency,
ensured by the public sector.
These objectives—innovation and diversity on the one hand, and
stability and efficiency on the other—are related. More of one usually
means less of the other. A tradeoff exists, and countries—central banks
especially—have to navigate it. How much of the private sector to rely
upon, versus how much to innovate themselves? Much depends on
preferences, available technology, and the efficiency of regulation.
So it is natural, when a new technology emerges, to ask how today’s
dual monetary system will evolve. If digitalized cash—called central
bank digital currency—does emerge, will it displace privately-issued
money, or allow it to flourish? The first is always possible, by way of
more stringent regulation. We argue that the second remains possible, by
extending the logic of today’s dual monetary system. Importantly,
central banks should not face a choice between either offering central bank digital currency, or
encouraging the private sector to provide its own digital variant. The
two can coincide and complement each other, for example, to the extent
central banks make certain design choices and refresh their regulatory
frameworks.
Public-private coexistence
It may be puzzling to consider that privately- and publicly-issued
monies have coexisted throughout history. Why hasn’t the more
innovative, convenient, user-friendly, and adaptable private money taken
over entirely?
The answer lies in a fundamental symbiotic relationship: the option
to redeem private money into perfectly safe and liquid public money, be
it notes and coins, or central bank reserves held by selected banks.
The private monies that can be redeemed at a fixed face value into
central bank currency become a stable store of value. Ten dollars in a
bank account can be exchanged into a ten-dollar bill accepted as legal
tender to settle debts. The example may seem obvious, but it hides
complex underpinnings: sound regulation and supervision, government
backstops such as deposit insurance and lender last resort, as well as
partial or full backing in central bank reserves.
Moreover, privately-issued money becomes an efficient means of
payment to the extent it can be redeemed into central bank currency.
Anne’s 10 dollars in Bank A can be transferred to Bob’s Bank B because
they are redeemed into central bank currency in between—an asset both
banks trust, hold, and can exchange. As a result, this privately-issued
money becomes interoperable. And so it spurs competition—since Anne and Bob can hold money in different banks and still pay each other—and thus innovation and diversity of actual forms of money.
In short, the option of redemption into central bank currency is
essential for stability, interoperability, innovation, and diversity of
privately-issued money, be it a bank account or other. A system with
just private money would be far too risky. And one with just central
bank currency could miss out on important innovations. Each form of
money builds on the other to deliver today’s dual money system—a balance
that has served us well.
Central bank currency in the digital age will face pressures
And tomorrow, as we step squarely into the digital age, what will
become of this system? Will the digital currencies issued by central
banks be so enticing that they overshadow privately-issued money? Or
will they still allow for private sector innovation? Much depends on
each central bank’s ability and willingness to consistently and
significantly innovate. Keeping pace with technological change, rapidly
evolving user needs, and private sector innovation is no easy feat.
Central bank digital currencies are akin to both a smart-phone and
its operating system. At a basic level, they are a settlement technology
allowing money to be stored and transferred, much like bits sent
between a phone’s processor, memory, and camera. At another level, they
are a form of money, with specific functionality and appearance, much
like an operating system.
Central banks would thus have to become more like Apple or Microsoft
in order to keep central bank digital currencies on the frontier of
technology and in the wallets of users as the predominant and preferred
form of digital money.
Innovation in the digital age is orders of magnitude more complex and
rapid than updating security features on paper notes. For instance,
central bank digital currencies may initially be managed from a central
database, though might migrate to distributed ledgers (synchronized
registries held and updated automatically across a network) as
technology matures, and one ledger may quickly yield to another
following major advancements. Phones and operating systems too benefit
from major new releases at least yearly.
In addition, user needs and expectations are likely to evolve much
more quickly and unpredictably in the digital age. Information and
assets may migrate to distributed ledgers, and require money on the same
network to be monetized. Money may be transferred in entirely new ways,
including automatically by chips imbedded in everyday products. These
needs may require new features of money and thus frequent architectural
redesigns, and diversity. Today’s, or even tomorrow’s, money is unlikely
to meet the needs of the day after.
Pressures will come from the supply-side too. The private sector will
continue innovating. New eMoney and stablecoin schemes will emerge. As
demand for these products grows, regulators will strive to contain
risks. And the question will inevitably arise: how will these forms of
money interact with the digital currencies issued by central banks? Will
they exist separately, or will some be integrated into a dual monetary
system where the private and central bank offerings build on each other?
A partnership with the private sector remains possible
Keeping with the pace of change of technology, user needs, and
private-sector competition will be challenging for central banks.
However, they need not be alone in doing so.
First, a central bank digital currency may be designed to encourage
the private sector to innovate on top of it, much like app designers
bring enticing functionality to phones and their operating systems. By
accessing an open set of commands (“application programming
interfaces”), a thriving developer community could expand the usability
of central bank digital currencies beyond offering plain e-wallet
services. For instance, they could make it easy to automate payments, so
that a shipment of goods is paid once received, or they could build a
look-up function so money can be sent to a friend on the basis of her
phone number alone. The trick will be vetting these add-on services so
they are perfectly safe.
Second, some central banks may even allow other forms of digital
money to co-exist—much like parallel operating systems—while leveraging
the settlement functionality and stability of central bank digital
currencies. This would open the door to faster innovation and product
choice. For instance, one digital currency might compromise on
settlement speed to allow users greater control over payment automation.
Would this new form of digital money be a stable store of value? Yes,
if it were redeemable into central bank currency (digital or
non-digital) at a fixed face value. This would be possible if it were
fully backed by central bank currency.
And would this form of digital money be an efficient means of
payment? Yes again, as settlement would be immediate on any given
digital money network—just as it is between accounts of the same bank.
And networks would be interoperable to the extent a payment from Anne’s
digital money provider to Bob’s would be settled with a corresponding
move of central bank currency, just as in today’s dual system.
This form of digital money (which we have called synthetic currency in the past)
could well co-exist with central bank digital currency. It would
require a licensing arrangement and set of regulations to fulfill public
policy objectives including operational resilience, consumer
protection, market conduct and contestability, data privacy, and even
prudential stability. At the same time, financial integrity could be
ensured via digital identities and complementary data policies.
Partnering with central banks requires a high degree of regulatory
compliance.
A system for the ages
If and when countries move ahead with central bank digital
currencies, they should consider how to leverage the private sector.
Today’s dual-monetary system can be extended to the digital
age. Central bank currency—along with regulation, supervision, and
oversight—will continue to be essential to anchor stability and
efficiency of the payment system. And privately-issued money can
supplement this foundation with innovation and diversity—perhaps even
more so than today. Where central banks decide to end up on the
continuum between private-sector and public-sector involvement in the
provision of money will vary by country, and ultimately depend on
preferences, technology, and the efficiency of regulation.
IMF blog
© International Monetary Fund
Key
Hover over the blue highlighted
text to view the acronym meaning
Hover
over these icons for more information
Comments:
No Comments for this Article